NTG odds lower than claimed

[rcatch]

Since I am not getting satisfactory replies from customer service so I will post my situation here. Nexon claims the odds of getting NTG after a 5 star win is 90%. I fully understand the actual odds I am getting will fructuate. But what’s bothering me is that for a few months my odds would never even close to 90%. We do war back to back so every other day I will attack for NTG. and every other day I get frustrated. Think about it, if it’s really 90% over a long term why would I complain?

So to prove my point, I will do a count of getting NTG odds after all 5 star wins from my attack log every day. Let’s see what the odds will be from now on. My suspection is that there is definitely something wrong with the odds generator. And it may very well be device type dependent.

So here is today’s odds: 18 out of 25=72%

 

[rcatch]

20/25=80%, 423/527=80%

 

[rcatch]

I think your math is wrong. If it is the stated '90%' for 5 star attacks then that resets on every attack. So if you didn't get it on one attack that does not improve your odds on the next attack. You cant say that it should be an average of 90% over your whole day of looting. There is still a 10% chance of you getting nothing. Now....if you do get NTGs then the Moctezuma research is a great bonus.

I agree with all your statements except the first one.

 

[FrostMr]

Agree with Manifesto in there being something fishy for sure. Seems completely obvious that whenever there is an event or goal for trade goods, rabbits or deer there are little to be found. Good example is when i get the goal to hunt 80 rabbits i find myself overrun with deer however when i have the hunt deer goal i'm overrun with rabbits. The hunting goals are ridiculously noticeable. The goal to hunt "animals" also seems to spawn animals that require more workers boar and bears for example. (not as obvious as the other ones)

This is a great thread, kudos to rcatch for some great research and transparency

TinSoldier anything you can look into for us?

 

[cclaerbo]

I have got marble every single time I 5 star a Roman base now that I’ve finished the reasearch in the uni. So the 90% started by Tinsoldier is certainly accurate. And the 1% bonus per level in uni is an actual 1% to achieve 100% chance of getting that specific NTG after uni research is done. I just wish they would add in the rest of the NTGs into the uni as soon as possible

 

[rcatch]

20/24=83%, 443/551=i 80%